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Can you make money with online trading? The honest numbers

Giordano SalvatoriGiordano Salvatori, founder of STA · 21/10/2026 · 5 minutes read
An antique two pan balance hanging from a beam, the pans empty: in trading you weigh gains and losses, and honest numbers are the ones that count both
In short. Some people make money, but most do not. European brokers that offer CFDs have to disclose the share of their retail clients who lose money, and the published figures generally sit between 60% and 90%. That is not a verdict, because the number does not say how much is lost or who stops in time, but it is the honest starting point. People who stay in the game usually have small losses, costs under control and a method that does not change with every bad streak.

Do people really make money with online trading?

Some do, most do not. Put like that it sounds like a stock phrase, but there are numbers behind it, and it is worth looking at them before you open an account.

In the European Union, anyone who offers CFDs, meaning contracts that track the price of an asset without you owning it, has to state plainly how many of their retail client accounts lost money over the last twelve months. These are mandatory warnings, and you find them at the bottom of brokers' pages. The published percentages change from one provider to another, but they almost always sit between roughly 60% and roughly 90%. In other words, out of ten accounts, six to nine are losing.

What that percentage really says

Little, if you read it wrong. It is not the probability that you will lose, and it does not say how much is lost. An account counts as «losing» even if it left fifty euros on the table, and another counts as «winning» even if it made five. It does not tell apart someone who quit after a week from someone who has done this for ten years. It refers to leveraged CFDs, not to all of trading, and every broker has its own clientele.

What it does say, though, is clear: making money consistently is the exception. Anyone who promises you the opposite is selling something. If you want to learn how to spot that, we wrote a guide on reliable trading signals.

Why most people lose

Almost never for a single reason. Usually three add up.

  1. Losses bigger than gains. People close a winning position early for fear of losing the gain and keep a losing one open hoping it comes back. In the end winning often is not enough. We talk about it in R in trading and why it matters more than win rate.
  2. Too much leverage. With leverage a small price move becomes a big loss on the account, and a bad streak can close you out before your method has had time to prove anything. You will find the details in the guide to leverage.
  3. Costs and decisions driven by emotions. Spread, commissions and, on perpetual contracts, funding are paid on every trade. If you trade a lot, they weigh as much as an opponent. And after a loss the temptation to win it back right away is very strong.

A numerical example, for illustration only

The numbers below are made up, they are there to show how the maths works. They are nobody's result.

Loss on the accountGain needed to get back to even
10%11,1%
20%25%
50%100%

It is the arithmetic of drawdown, the fall of the account from its peak. The lower you go, the steeper the climb back. That is why small losses matter more than big gains, and why we took the time to explain drawdown.

What people who stay in the game do differently

They have no trick. They have boring habits, and they keep them even when they do not feel like it.

None of these habits makes you a winner. They keep you in the game long enough to find out whether your method works, and that is already far more than someone who starts without rules manages.

How much costs weigh, even when the method is good

A method that in theory earns a little can in practice become a method that loses, just because of costs. The spread is the difference between the price you buy at and the price you sell at, and you pay it on every entry. Commissions add up, and on derivatives there can be funding, a periodic payment between those who are long and those who are short. The amounts are small, but they repeat.

An invented example: if every trade costs you 0.1% of the capital committed and you make five a day, in a month you have spent about 10% of that capital before the market has even decided who is right. That is why trading less is often an advantage, not a limit. How to read a platform's costs is a question that deserves an article of its own.

How to find out without risking real money

The most honest way is to try it with a demo account, treating it as if it were real: same capital, same share of risk, a stop before you enter, a diary. After fifty trades you have a figure of your own instead of a hope. We explained how in the guide to the free demo trading account and in the one on how long to stay in it. A demo account has one limit, fear weighs less, so the results are usually better than the ones that follow.

If you are starting from zero, the main guide is trading online: what it is and how to start consciously.

Where STA fits in

STA does not promise profits, and nobody should. It offers trading cards for crypto and US stocks on OKX, built by ten artificial intelligence agents who debate each other in the Bull and Bear debate, and every card has its stop. The DEMO is free forever, with real prices and the same cards as REAL, so you can watch how a written method behaves without putting money in. The history is public and verifiable on GitHub, losses included, because honest numbers are the ones you can check.

Frequently asked questions

How many people make money with online trading?A minority. In the European Union, CFD brokers publish the share of retail clients who lose money, and the values generally run from roughly 60% to roughly 90%, depending on the broker. The figure does not say how much is lost and does not rule out that someone makes money.
How much can you make with online trading?There is no figure anyone can promise you. It depends on capital, on the risk you accept, on costs and on the method, and it can also be negative. Be wary of anyone who quotes a fixed monthly return.
Can you lose all your capital with online trading?Yes. With leverage a loss can quickly exceed what you imagine, and without a stop the capital can drop to zero. That is why it pays to risk a small share per trade and to try a demo account first.
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This article is for information only and is not investment advice. Trading crypto-assets involves a high risk, including the total loss of the capital used. Numerical examples are for illustration.

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